Paper prices surge by up to 250%

News publishers’ digital challenges are legion, but a more conventional problem has come into sharp focus this year: the price of paper.

In its half-year results released in July, publishing giant Reach reported a 65% year-on-year increase in its newsprint costs – up £13.6m.

Gannett, the US publisher that owns USA Today and, in the UK, local newspaper chains Newsquest and Archant, in August estimated it had taken a year-on-year hit in the second quarter of $23m (£20.4m) from inflation in newsprint and fuel prices.

Paper price increases this year can be attributed to the invasion of Ukraine, the weakening pound and the onward march of Amazon.

With all the mill closures and more potentially on the horizon, it is unclear when prices will settle. The industry source said: “The camel’s back is creaking.”

For now, publishers have a few options to try to get above the rising waterline: they can reduce their paper grade, sacrificing thickness and texture. They can reduce their print volumes and pagination (the number of pages within a paper) – Reach, for example, has dropped each by about 5%.

And as many publishers including Reach have, print news publishers can pass the cost pressures onto consumers. That would be unattractive to most companies – but even that option isn’t available to all publishers, with freesheets particularly vulnerable.

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Ofcom’s Media Nations 2022 report: YouTube dominance, SVOD decline and pubcaster strength

It is that time of year where UK broadcast regulator Ofcom publishes its Media Nations report, and the headline story is a record generational divide between the younger Brits raised on streaming and the old-habits-die-hard older population still propping up traditional linear TV.

According to the eagerly anticipated annual report, people aged 16-24 spend 53 minutes in front of broadcast TV on an average day, down 66% over the past decade. Adults aged over 65 by contrast spend an average of 5 hours and 50 minutes per day watching broadcast TV, slightly higher than 10 years ago.

While nine in ten 18-24-year-olds typically bypass TV channels and head straight to streaming when looking for something to watch, 59% of 55-64-year-olds and 76% of those aged 65+ still turn to TV channels first. 

But while this dichotomy is one which has dominated discussions surrounding the report, there are plenty of other aspects of this inquiry into UK video consumption worth examining more closely.

YouTube, not Netflix or Disney, is the dominant force in video streaming

The average brit spends 5 hours and 16 minutes per day consuming video. Of that total, 59% of it is broadcast content; 144 minutes on live TV, 28 minutes on recorded playback and 15 minutes on BVOD.

SVOD decline and cost-of-living

This is not to say that the trio of streamers are struggling by any means. A fifth of UK homes (5.2 million) subscribe to all three platforms, at a cost of around £300 per year per household. To once again do the sums, means consumers in the UK are spending roughly £2.02 billion per year on Netflix, Prime Video and Disney+ – and that’s just from households with all three. The real total from across the entire country from each of these services is astronomically higher. 

Households subscribing to one or more of Netflix, Amazon Prime Video and Disney+, and overlaps between them (millions): Q1 2022

SVOD services broadly, including the big three, were used by 67% of UK households in Q2 2022, marking a slight decline from a peak of 68% in Q1.

Pubcasters demonstrating their value 

Almost a third of the report is dedicated to public service broadcasting, but the main takeaway in this regard is that there is “broad satisfaction with public service broadcasting among those who watch it.”

A little more than two-thirds of PSB audience (67%) said they were satisfied by PSBs over the first half of 2022, while only 12% said they were dissatisfied. Crucially at a time when misinformation is rampant across social media and the wider internet (I’m looking at you, YouTube), PSBs are viewed as a trusted source of accurate UK news. 

PSBs have seen audiences and levels of viewing continuing to fall, with the weekly reach of PSB channels falling to 76% of all individuals (down from 80% in 2019), while only 47% of 16-24-year-olds watch at least 15 minutes of PSB channels in an average week. 

In summary

Overall, Ofcom’s Media Nations 2022 report paints a picture of a UK that is in change. There is a clear generational divide both in terms of how Brits want to watch video, but also where they want to get it from. 

Concerns of cost are increasingly impacting the once stable growth market of SVOD, and users are seeking alternative options which either offer content for free in exchange for advertising or at a discounted price.

But while there is a lot of change, the reliable institutions of PSBs are continuing to provide Brits with stability and a reliable source of entertainment and information, even if they’re doing it away from the traditional means. I would not be so trite as to argue a cliche like ‘the more things change, the more they stay the same,’ but there is undoubtedly comfort provided by these historical mainstays which should ensure support from the public even as the government attempts to dismantle them. 

The 2023 report will surely give us a bleaker outlook as the cost-of-living crisis engulfs the country, but for now at least there is some room for reserved optimism. 

 

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Soaring newsprint costs make life even harder for newspapers

Over the past months paper prices have gone in one direction – upward. Just like the whole global economy was shaken to the core by the pandemic, it has seemed that as the first day of January, April, July and September approached, so too did a letter from the paper merchants informing us that another rise of 5% to 8% would be required. Just have a look at Foex to see the upward trend in the graphs.

And it’s not just the UK. In North America, paper prices are skyrocketing too. But while their price rises are driven mostly by lack of mill capacity and a tight labour market, over here it’s more of a perfect wave of latent demand fuelled by the pandemic together with the closure of paper mills alongside other mills switching from paper to board for packaging production in response to the demand from e-commerce.

And of course, paper mills themselves are also facing the double-whammy of increased costs from their own supply chains for things like chemicals and plant, along with the much heralded challenges in logistics and distribution.

Now of course, there are huge hikes in energy prices leading to pricing surcharges on paper which are inevitably passed on to print buyers and their customers.

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Why is crypto crashing now?

Coinbase went public on April 14, 2021, to much fanfare and hype. It was seen as crypto’s acceptance into the mainstream. That same day Bitcoin reached an all-time high of roughly $64,000.

It’s been a bloodbath ever since then for both crypto and Coinbase. Though Coinbase shares soared to as much as $429 on the very same say the crypto exchange did a direct listing of its shares, from that first day sugar high, COIN’s shares are down nearly 50%.

Bitcoin has also been cut in half over the past two months, briefly falling below $30,000 Tuesday morning. Ethereum is more than 50% off its highs from early May. Many other crypto assets have fallen even further with a number of tokens down 70% to 90% in value.

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Brexit Chaos

Welcome to 2021, it has been a wild year so far!

First and formost I personally wish to apologise for the absense of our website! It appears we were caught up in the whole Brexit Transition.

As you are aware, .eu websites must be registered with either a person of EU nationality or be registered in a EU country.

It appears that our domain supplier does not know of the “Good Friday Agreement”. Being from Northern Ireland, I am in the unique position of having both a British and an Irish passport, something our registrar missed.

We have had the hassle of trying to recover the domain. This did not affect client side systems as those are based in London for those in the UK and in Dublin for those within the EU.

For those of you who are not customers of ours but have been affected by the transition, feel free to get in touch and we can point you in the right direction.

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